Atlantic
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$62.69
89.56 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $56.99 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.15%
7,613 openings, odds method
Variance
12.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 28
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,613 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$64.0191.44 coins$4,8626,945 coins75.95x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$64.0191.44 coins$3,4584,940 coins54.02x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$64.0191.44 coins$3,4584,940 coins54.02x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$64.0291.45 coins$3,4584,940 coins54.02x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · SapphireGarrettPictures$64.0191.44 coins$1,5392,199 coins24.05x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$64.0191.44 coins$1,5392,199 coins24.05x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$64.0291.45 coins$1,5392,199 coins24.05x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$62.6989.56 coins$1.201.72 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$62.6989.56 coins$1.201.72 coins0.02x
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specJhon csgoroll.com$62.6989.56 coins$0.991.41 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$62.6989.56 coins$1.201.72 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$62.6989.56 coins$0.871.24 coins0.01x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$62.6989.56 coins$1.201.72 coins0.02x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restrictedJhon csgoroll.com$62.6989.56 coins$21.5330.75 coins0.34x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $62.69 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $62.70 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $62.73 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $64.01 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $64.02 | 90.91% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.6%extraordinary 0.0%classified 5.7%legendary 0.3%restricted 5.5%mil spec 85.0%best hit $11.6K (184.8x)