Price
$17.40
24.85 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $15.81 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.64%
2,399 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,399 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$17.4024.85 coins$98.70141 coins5.67x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedBRÄTT <3$17.4024.85 coins$18.5426.48 coins1.07x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$17.4024.85 coins$64.8392.61 coins3.73x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertJake$17.4024.85 coins$64.8392.61 coins3.73x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $17.40 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $17.40 | 90.93% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $17.67 | 90.90% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $18.00 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.00 | 90.92% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 23.9%classified 10.2%covert 11.6%industrial 17.8%rare 21.6%mil spec 0.1%Legendary 15.0%best hit —