Bizon
A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.40
Advertised RTP
94.44%
EV $0.38 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.53%
75 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 75 openings and 18.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 121 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/bizon/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.44%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.40 | 94.44% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.40 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.1%Mil Spec Grade 0.0%mil spec 0.1%classified 0.0%industrial 16.3%restricted 2.1%#B0C3D9 0.0%Common 4.2%#4b69ff 17.7%Industrial Grade 0.9%#8847ff 1.2%Consumer Grade 6.4%blue 23.4%Restricted 3.6%consumer 11.9%milspec 4.1%#87c7ff 4.1%best hit —