Chroma 3
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.99
Advertised RTP
92.90%
EV $1.85 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.47%
272 openings, sample method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 272 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 272 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/chroma3/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.99 | 92.90% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.99 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%Covert 0.0%classified 1.3%Legendary 0.3%#d32ee6 0.4%pink 0.5%restricted 27.1%violet 11.8%Mythical 8.2%Restricted 4.6%mil spec 13.7%#8847ff 4.6%milspec 4.6%Rare 22.9%best hit —