Gta 6

A case on CSGORUN (gta2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$69.99
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $65.79 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.92%
634 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
92.92%±6.86634 openings
30 days
92.92%±6.86634 openings
since tracking started
92.92%±6.86634 openings
-0.5%65.0%130.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h659.52%±70.5—odds
7d63492.92%±6.86−0.3σodds
30d63492.92%±6.86−0.3σodds
All63492.92%±6.86−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 794 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500,000$6,0430.0%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 100,000$2,5610.0%00.0—
★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 100,000$2,5050.0%00.0—
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 40,000$1,8140.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 16,129$1,3780.1%00.0—
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 8,475$1,0790.2%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 5,181$8940.3%00.2—
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 2,618$7220.4%00.3—
Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 1,182$5660.7%00.7—
Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 739$4701.0%11.10.93×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 388$3721.5%22.00.98×
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 225$3102.1%53.51.42×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 150$2522.6%65.31.13×
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 102$1942.9%67.80.77×
M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)weapon · epic1 in 75$1723.5%1110.61.04×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 61$1453.7%2013.11.52×
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 15$14014.3%5353.40.99×
★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 33$1205.5%3124.01.29×
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 26$94.585.6%2930.70.94×
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 21$91.546.6%3237.40.86×
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 16$82.128.0%5550.61.09×
MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 18$78.366.7%4545.01.00×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 26$69.604.1%2930.90.94×
Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 12$67.168.2%6064.00.94×
AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 35$63.002.8%1823.00.78×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 35$52.192.3%1323.00.57×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 35$48.302.1%2323.01.00×
AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 35$41.661.8%2423.01.05×
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 35$39.531.7%2923.01.26×
Five-SeveN | Nitro (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 35$34.411.5%2823.01.22×
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 35$29.521.3%2723.01.18×
P250 | Cartel (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 35$27.831.2%3023.01.31×
Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 35$25.781.1%2323.01.00×
AK-47 | Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 35$22.091.0%2423.01.05×
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · uncommon1 in 35$21.260.9%2123.00.91×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 35$17.780.8%1223.00.52×
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 35$17.400.8%2023.00.87×
Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 35$16.370.7%2423.01.05×
CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 35$12.370.5%1523.00.65×
P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 35$12.010.5%2223.00.96×
M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 35$10.030.4%2223.00.96×
Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 35$9.210.4%2422.91.05×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/gta6/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$69.9994.00%42
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 2.9%epic 1.3%covert 31.6%restricted 3.1%gold 3.0%classified 27.0%Mil Spec Grade 8.6%mil spec 13.8%Ancient 2.9%uncommon 2.9%#4b69ff 2.9%best hit —