Teacat
A case on CSGORUN (hype2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$6.99
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $6.57 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.80%
2,797 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
51.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,052 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/teacat/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $6.99 | 94.00% | 37 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%restricted 24.1%classified 8.8%Immortal 0.1%other 0.2%mil spec 1.8%pink 5.1%#4b69ff 9.1%Rare 14.2%Mythical 15.0%Legendary 3.3%violet 6.6%blue 5.1%Mil Spec Grade 3.3%milspec 3.3%best hit —