Zasecrcase
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$4.38
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $4.12 from 56 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.88%
325 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 325 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/zasecrcase/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $4.38 | 94.00% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.51 | 91.29% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.51 | 93.45% | 56 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 45.2%#d32ee6 2.5%rare 0.6%pink 32.8%Legendary 1.0%Classified 7.5%#d32ce6 10.5%best hit —