The Mission Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price

$14.69

Advertised RTP

83.32%

EV $12.24 from 173 items

Observed RTP, 30d

81.08%

914 openings, odds method

Variance

1.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

11.8%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

81.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

53 openings · below min

7 days

79.74%±9.09810 openings

30 days

81.08%±8.56914 openings

since tracking started

81.08%±8.56914 openings

35.5%71.8%108.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	53	71.58%±35.5	—	odds
7d	810	79.74%±9.09	−0.8σ	odds
30d	914	81.08%±8.56	−0.5σ	odds
All	914	81.08%±8.56	−0.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values173 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 914 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 2,778	$314	0.9%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 2,778	$303	0.9%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,778	$243	0.7%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 2,778	$219	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 2,778	$205	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 2,778	$203	0.6%	2	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$196	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$193	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,381	$187	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,389	$124	0.7%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 769	$94.43	1.0%	0	1.2	0.00×
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 714	$86.92	1.0%	4	1.3	3.13×
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient	1 in 667	$77.78	1.0%	1	1.4	0.73×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 667	$75.19	0.9%	3	1.4	2.19×
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 625	$69.12	0.9%	0	1.5	0.00×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 625	$68.01	0.9%	1	1.5	0.68×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 588	$65.53	0.9%	4	1.6	2.57×
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 588	$64.97	0.9%	2	1.6	1.29×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 556	$63.72	0.9%	1	1.6	0.61×
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 500	$61.03	1.0%	2	1.8	1.09×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 500	$60.31	1.0%	1	1.8	0.55×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 500	$59.55	1.0%	0	1.8	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 455	$57.82	1.0%	3	2.0	1.49×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 455	$57.40	1.0%	1	2.0	0.50×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 455	$54.94	1.0%	0	2.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 455	$54.92	1.0%	1	2.0	0.50×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 400	$51.86	1.1%	0	2.3	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 400	$51.85	1.1%	4	2.3	1.75×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 400	$51.71	1.1%	1	2.3	0.44×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 400	$51.05	1.0%	1	2.3	0.44×
AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 400	$50.69	1.0%	1	2.3	0.44×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 400	$50.47	1.0%	1	2.3	0.44×
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 400	$49.98	1.0%	2	2.3	0.88×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · red	1 in 400	$49.82	1.0%	5	2.3	2.19×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 400	$49.60	1.0%	5	2.3	2.19×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 400	$47.55	1.0%	3	2.3	1.31×
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 364	$46.64	1.0%	6	2.5	2.39×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 364	$45.93	1.0%	0	2.5	0.00×
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 364	$45.48	1.0%	3	2.5	1.19×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 333	$43.80	1.1%	5	2.7	1.82×
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 333	$43.35	1.1%	6	2.7	2.19×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 333	$41.96	1.0%	5	2.7	1.82×
USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 333	$41.75	1.0%	2	2.7	0.73×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 333	$41.17	1.0%	3	2.7	1.09×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 333	$39.21	1.0%	3	2.7	1.09×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 333	$39.15	1.0%	2	2.7	0.73×
AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 333	$33.08	0.8%	4	2.7	1.46×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 286	$31.36	0.9%	2	3.2	0.63×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 286	$31.03	0.9%	4	3.2	1.25×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 250	$28.86	0.9%	5	3.7	1.37×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 250	$28.44	0.9%	2	3.7	0.55×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 250	$28.30	0.9%	5	3.7	1.37×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 250	$27.14	0.9%	3	3.7	0.82×
AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 222	$26.86	1.0%	6	4.1	1.46×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 222	$25.23	0.9%	2	4.1	0.49×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$23.64	1.0%	6	4.6	1.31×
AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$22.33	0.9%	4	4.6	0.88×
AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$21.45	0.9%	4	4.6	0.88×
AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 200	$20.97	0.9%	5	4.6	1.09×
AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 200	$20.56	0.8%	4	4.6	0.88×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$19.82	0.8%	4	4.6	0.88×
AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$19.81	0.8%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$18.40	0.8%	5	4.6	1.09×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$18.19	0.7%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 200	$17.00	0.7%	6	4.6	1.31×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$16.78	0.7%	4	4.6	0.88×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$16.19	0.7%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$14.71	0.6%	6	4.6	1.31×
AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$14.03	0.6%	5	4.6	1.09×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$13.99	0.6%	0	4.6	0.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 200	$13.73	0.6%	4	4.6	0.88×
AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 200	$12.84	0.5%	5	4.6	1.09×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$12.84	0.5%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$12.82	0.5%	5	4.6	1.09×
AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 200	$12.69	0.5%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 200	$12.40	0.5%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 200	$12.18	0.5%	4	4.6	0.88×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 200	$12.05	0.5%	4	4.6	0.88×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$11.91	0.5%	4	4.6	0.88×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 200	$11.86	0.5%	4	4.6	0.88×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$11.71	0.5%	6	4.6	1.31×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$11.46	0.5%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 200	$11.40	0.5%	2	4.6	0.44×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$11.34	0.5%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$11.26	0.5%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$11.09	0.5%	3	4.6	0.66×
USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 200	$11.00	0.4%	1	4.6	0.22×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$11.00	0.4%	3	4.6	0.66×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 200	$10.64	0.4%	7	4.6	1.53×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$10.55	0.4%	8	4.6	1.75×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 200	$9.82	0.4%	4	4.6	0.88×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 200	$9.58	0.4%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$9.54	0.4%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$9.51	0.4%	8	4.6	1.75×
AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$9.35	0.4%	2	4.6	0.44×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$9.28	0.4%	10	4.6	2.19×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$9.13	0.4%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$9.12	0.4%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 200	$9.07	0.4%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$9.06	0.4%	8	4.6	1.75×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 200	$8.87	0.4%	7	4.6	1.53×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 200	$8.84	0.4%	1	4.6	0.22×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$8.03	0.3%	5	4.6	1.09×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$7.90	0.3%	5	4.6	1.09×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$7.87	0.3%	9	4.6	1.97×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 200	$7.85	0.3%	5	4.6	1.09×
AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 200	$7.78	0.3%	5	4.6	1.09×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$7.41	0.3%	4	4.6	0.88×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$7.37	0.3%	3	4.6	0.66×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$7.35	0.3%	4	4.6	0.88×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$7.30	0.3%	6	4.6	1.31×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$7.06	0.3%	1	4.6	0.22×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 200	$7.03	0.3%	2	4.6	0.44×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 200	$6.99	0.3%	9	4.6	1.97×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 200	$6.97	0.3%	4	4.6	0.88×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 200	$6.87	0.3%	10	4.6	2.19×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100	$6.85	0.6%	10	9.1	1.09×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 100	$6.60	0.5%	6	9.1	0.66×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 100	$6.51	0.5%	11	9.1	1.20×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$6.21	0.5%	11	9.1	1.20×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$6.17	0.5%	11	9.1	1.20×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$6.01	0.5%	12	9.1	1.31×
AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 100	$5.96	0.5%	5	9.1	0.55×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.94	0.5%	8	9.1	0.88×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100	$5.83	0.5%	7	9.1	0.77×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 100	$5.72	0.5%	10	9.1	1.09×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 100	$5.68	0.5%	6	9.1	0.66×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.56	0.5%	13	9.1	1.42×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.40	0.4%	8	9.1	0.88×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$5.36	0.4%	4	9.1	0.44×
AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 100	$5.29	0.4%	9	9.1	0.98×
AWP \| Worm God (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.25	0.4%	8	9.1	0.88×
USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$5.19	0.4%	14	9.1	1.53×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.18	0.4%	15	9.1	1.64×
AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.17	0.4%	5	9.1	0.55×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 100	$5.14	0.4%	12	9.1	1.31×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$5.09	0.4%	7	9.1	0.77×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$4.97	0.4%	11	9.1	1.20×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$4.96	0.4%	10	9.1	1.09×
AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$4.90	0.4%	7	9.1	0.77×
AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$4.87	0.4%	3	9.1	0.33×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$4.83	0.4%	9	9.1	0.98×
AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$4.81	0.4%	14	9.1	1.53×
USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 100	$4.66	0.4%	13	9.1	1.42×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$4.63	0.4%	15	9.1	1.64×
USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$4.60	0.4%	10	9.1	1.09×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 100	$4.58	0.4%	10	9.1	1.09×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 100	$4.10	0.3%	9	9.1	0.98×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 100	$3.95	0.3%	9	9.1	0.98×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 100	$3.74	0.3%	11	9.1	1.20×
AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 100	$3.27	0.3%	10	9.1	1.09×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$3.20	0.3%	8	9.1	0.88×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$3.05	0.2%	9	9.1	0.98×
AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 100	$3.02	0.2%	9	9.1	0.98×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 100	$2.99	0.2%	15	9.1	1.64×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$2.88	0.2%	4	9.1	0.44×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$2.73	0.2%	6	9.1	0.66×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 100	$2.69	0.2%	11	9.1	1.20×
AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$2.66	0.2%	11	9.1	1.20×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$2.63	0.2%	9	9.1	0.98×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$2.63	0.2%	12	9.1	1.31×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$2.39	0.2%	6	9.1	0.66×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 100	$2.39	0.2%	13	9.1	1.42×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 100	$2.37	0.2%	9	9.1	0.98×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 100	$2.14	0.2%	9	9.1	0.98×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$2.12	0.2%	9	9.1	0.98×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 100	$1.84	0.2%	12	9.1	1.31×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$1.81	0.1%	6	9.1	0.66×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$1.79	0.1%	9	9.1	0.98×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 100	$1.77	0.1%	5	9.1	0.55×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 98	$1.03	0.1%	7	9.4	0.75×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 89	$0.96	0.1%	14	10.3	1.36×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 89	$0.86	0.1%	11	10.3	1.07×

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: the-mission), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covertRetroGod$14.69$46.643.17x1h

AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blueHath Master$14.69$1.840.13x1h

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New)weapon · restrictedTamerunal98$14.69$6.010.41x1h

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1124827605$14.69$1.790.12x2h

StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedMayers$14.69$7.870.54x2h

StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted白色领带Oba$14.69$7.900.54x2h

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff陶明$14.69$2.140.15x6h

USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · restrictedLSJF117$14.69$12.840.87x6h

AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · RareG'A'GНаркоша$14.69$2.370.16x6h

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec♠니노 SID 니노♠$14.69$5.720.39x6h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$14.69	83.32%	173

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#eb4b4b 0.1%covert 2.5%Legendary 2.3%Ancient 0.5%classified 21.9%pink 8.6%restricted 37.4%Classified 3.0%Covert 0.2%red 0.8%mil spec 2.8%Mythical 4.8%#d32ee6 0.5%Restricted 2.0%#d32ce6 0.5%#8847ff 5.5%violet 1.5%milspec 3.0%Rare 1.0%blue 1.0%best hit —