GOLD-TOOTH
A case on DROP.SKIN (bestseller), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$37.00
Advertised RTP
121.37%
EV $44.91 from 74 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.39%
105 openings, odds method
Variance
12.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 105 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values74 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 105 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/gold-tooth/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 121.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $37.00 | 121.37% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $37.00 | 127.62% | 74 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $37.00 | 123.24% | 74 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $37.00 | 124.16% | 74 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $37.00 | 122.88% | 74 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $37.00 | 123.02% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $37.00 | 128.21% | 74 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $37.00 | 127.62% | 74 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $37.00 | 114.74% | 74 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $37.00 | 116.77% | 74 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 17.6%classified 23.6%gold 0.4%Immortal 0.1%red 0.6%restricted 23.0%Classified 15.1%#d32ee6 6.1%Industrial Grade 5.8%#8847ff 4.6%light blue 3.2%best hit —