Bandura

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$8.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $7.11 from 44 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 26
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,316$4114.4%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,031$3234.4%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 980$3074.4%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 781$2464.4%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 595$1874.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 370$1164.4%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 370$1164.4%00.0—
AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 365$79.153.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 330$71.613.1%00.0—
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 253$54.913.0%00.0—
AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 246$53.533.1%00.0—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 246$53.373.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 200$43.443.1%00.0—
P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 191$41.443.1%00.0—
AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 191$41.423.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 134$29.103.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 131$28.453.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 130$28.253.1%00.0—
AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified1 in 87$18.903.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 85$18.413.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 83$18.063.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 175$15.841.3%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 171$15.501.3%00.0—
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 170$15.471.3%00.0—
USP-S | The Traitor (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 167$15.161.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Stalker (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 158$14.331.3%00.0—
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 157$14.251.3%00.0—
P250 | Visions (Factory New)weapon · #d32ee61 in 139$12.641.3%00.0—
MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 139$12.631.3%00.0—
MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 135$12.271.3%00.0—
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 119$10.801.3%00.0—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 112$10.181.3%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 111$10.101.3%00.0—
AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 103$9.351.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 100$9.111.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 99$9.001.3%00.0—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 92$8.341.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 90$8.161.3%00.0—
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 87$8.041.3%00.0—
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff10.2%$0.470.7%00.0—
FAMAS | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec13.0%$0.370.7%00.0—
P250 | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec13.3%$0.360.7%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff19.3%$0.250.7%00.0—
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare19.2%$0.250.7%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1293192, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$8.0088.91%44
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 7.7%extraordinary 0.4%classified 7.7%red 2.2%Classified 1.1%mil spec 26.9%pink 0.6%#d32ee6 0.7%restricted 2.8%Rare 20.3%#8847ff 10.2%#4b69ff 19.3%