REIKO

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.06%
EV $8.91 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,923$4612.7%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 1,695$4112.7%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 1,429$3442.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 1,190$2872.7%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 971$2332.7%00.0—
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 833$2012.7%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 719$1742.7%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 578$1402.7%00.0—
USP-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 429$1032.7%00.0—
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 538$94.002.0%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 508$88.722.0%00.0—
AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 476$83.422.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 417$72.842.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 344$60.112.0%00.0—
P250 | Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 283$49.592.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 244$42.772.0%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 237$41.452.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 212$37.142.0%00.0—
P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 168$29.372.0%00.0—
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 156$27.272.0%00.0—
MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 125$21.892.0%00.0—
P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 28$21.048.3%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 22$16.378.3%00.0—
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 22$16.128.3%00.0—
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 21$15.698.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 15$11.338.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 13$9.508.3%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 20$0.640.4%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 15$0.480.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 13$0.430.4%00.0—
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted16.0%$0.200.4%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff27.1%$0.130.4%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1375958, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0089.06%32
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 7.4%covert 21.7%covert knife 0.1%classified 5.7%extraordinary 0.4%restricted 16.7%Ancient 8.0%red 0.4%violet 0.8%mil spec 5.0%#4b69ff 33.8%