SZELI
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.98%
EV $8.90 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.31%
4,239 openings, odds method
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 21
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,253 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1544251, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.98% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 5.6%classified 5.0%Immortal 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.5%red 0.7%extraordinary 0.9%pink 1.5%Legendary 2.8%#d32ce6 1.4%Classified 1.8%#8847ff 2.3%restricted 6.9%mil spec 7.2%#4b69ff 40.3%milspec 22.8%best hit —