All night

A case on GGDROP (multicases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$5.51
Advertised RTP
92.07%
EV $5.07 from 147 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.43%
890 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
71 openings · below min
7 days
90.30%±14.07566 openings
30 days
90.43%±11.13890 openings
since tracking started
90.43%±11.13890 openings
39.5%80.3%121.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7180.22%±40.2—odds
7d56690.30%±14.1−0.2σodds
30d89090.43%±11.1−0.3σodds
All89090.43%±11.1−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values147 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 890 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,000$1730.7%00.2—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,882$1720.6%00.2—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$1710.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 41 in 9,091$1610.4%00.1—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,556$1490.5%00.2—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$1460.5%10.2—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$1440.6%00.2—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 8,333$1430.3%00.1—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$1290.5%00.2—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 7,143$1280.4%00.1—
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,556$1270.5%00.2—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,882$1260.4%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 7,692$1250.3%00.1—
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 6,250$1210.4%00.1—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$1200.4%00.2—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,000$1170.5%00.2—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$1160.3%00.1—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$1150.4%00.1—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 6,667$1150.3%00.1—
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 9,091$1080.2%00.1—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 7,143$1080.3%00.1—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$1050.4%00.2—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$1030.3%00.1—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 7,143$1020.3%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 5,556$94.760.3%00.2—
★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 8,333$87.980.2%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$83.340.2%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$79.820.3%00.2—
★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 8,333$74.640.2%00.1—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$71.920.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 9,091$69.810.2%00.1—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$68.200.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,556$67.560.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,692$65.530.2%00.1—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 6,667$64.600.2%00.1—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 7,692$62.830.2%00.1—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$59.890.2%10.1—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,250$55.640.2%00.1—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 5,263$54.510.2%00.2—
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 7,143$53.750.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,143$51.870.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,556$50.700.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 9,091$42.800.1%10.1—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$39.690.1%10.1—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 5,556$39.670.1%00.2—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$39.410.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,692$38.110.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 8,333$37.730.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,692$37.320.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 7,692$34.270.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$33.730.1%10.2—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 1,587$32.940.4%00.6—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 3,333$32.130.2%10.3—
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,205$31.930.5%10.7—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,408$31.740.4%00.6—
AUG | Momentum (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$31.630.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 5,000$30.850.1%10.2—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 7,143$30.770.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 7,143$30.540.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 8,333$29.010.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,222$28.660.3%00.4—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 4,000$28.060.1%00.2—
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 694$27.640.8%11.30.78×
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 6,250$25.570.1%30.1—
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,667$23.870.1%00.1—
AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$22.050.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 413$21.901.0%22.20.93×
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$21.850.1%10.2—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 8,333$21.350.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,632$21.270.2%00.3—
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,087$20.790.4%00.8—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 515$19.920.8%21.71.16×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 885$19.810.4%21.01.99×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 379$17.800.9%22.30.85×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 379$17.590.9%42.31.70×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 515$16.880.6%21.71.16×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 279$16.801.2%33.20.94×
USP-S | Blueprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,882$16.440.1%50.2—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 585$15.510.5%11.50.66×
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 279$14.841.1%23.20.63×
AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 478$14.610.6%11.90.54×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 350$14.400.8%42.51.57×
AWP | Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 645$14.130.4%21.41.45×
AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 251$14.021.1%33.50.85×
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 510$14.000.5%21.71.15×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 469$13.930.6%31.91.58×
AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 488$13.910.6%21.81.10×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 5,556$13.640.0%10.2—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 422$13.630.6%22.10.95×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 435$13.400.6%32.01.47×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 205$13.231.3%34.30.69×
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 413$13.040.6%22.20.93×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 146$12.961.8%46.10.65×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 202$11.101.1%74.41.59×
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 170$10.401.2%85.21.53×
P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 105$9.771.8%48.50.47×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 119$9.771.6%67.40.81×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 91$9.442.0%99.80.92×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 120$8.761.4%67.40.81×
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 148$8.611.1%86.01.33×
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 124$8.521.4%67.20.83×
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 136$8.231.2%66.50.92×
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 193$8.120.8%54.61.08×
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 149$7.911.0%96.01.50×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 127$7.561.2%77.01.00×
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 130$7.481.1%106.81.46×
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 113$7.321.3%37.80.38×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 93$7.191.5%89.60.83×
AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 84$6.441.5%1010.60.94×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 87$6.431.5%810.20.79×
AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 79$5.931.5%611.30.53×
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 70$5.931.7%1412.71.10×
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 65$5.801.7%913.60.66×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 124$5.700.9%67.20.84×
AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 78$5.561.4%1311.41.14×
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 116$5.380.9%117.71.43×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 81$5.231.3%911.00.82×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 68$4.981.4%1013.00.77×
USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 80$4.791.2%1111.20.98×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 85$4.751.1%710.40.67×
USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 80$4.701.2%1211.11.08×
P90 | Nostalgia (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 80$4.661.1%911.10.81×
AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 82$4.541.1%1610.81.48×
P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 74$4.411.2%2212.11.83×
P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 50$4.241.7%1717.60.96×
USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 51$4.201.6%1217.50.68×
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 38$4.092.1%3723.71.56×
P90 | Chopper (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 35$3.321.9%3125.81.20×
StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 29$2.922.0%3031.00.97×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 24$2.682.2%4736.91.27×
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 21$2.152.0%5442.91.26×
StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 24$1.831.5%2436.60.66×
AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 28$1.801.3%2331.90.72×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 28$1.771.2%2031.40.64×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 46$1.750.7%1219.20.62×
StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 86$1.680.4%510.40.48×
StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 92$1.680.4%159.71.55×
P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 77$1.660.4%2911.62.51×
AUG | Aristocrat (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 70$1.600.4%1512.71.19×
P90 | Chopper (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted1 in 61$1.410.5%1414.60.96×
AUG | Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 48$1.380.6%1918.41.03×
P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 42$1.370.6%1921.40.89×
AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 37$1.330.7%1224.30.49×
P90 | Chopper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 38$1.330.7%1923.50.81×
P250 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 38$0.690.4%2023.20.86×
P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · Restricted1 in 31$0.460.3%2828.30.99×
P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 27$0.420.3%3933.11.18×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/allnight, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.07%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$5.5192.07%147
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$5.5192.04%147
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$5.5192.10%147
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$5.5192.07%147
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$5.5192.00%147
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$5.5192.03%147
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$5.5192.09%147
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$5.5192.07%147
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$5.5192.01%147
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$5.5192.00%147
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$5.5192.08%147
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$5.5192.09%147
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$5.5192.02%147
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$5.5192.10%147
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$5.5192.08%147
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$5.5192.00%147
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$5.5192.00%147
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$5.5192.06%147
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$5.5192.00%147
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$5.5192.08%147
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$5.5192.07%147
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$5.5192.00%147
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$5.5192.08%147
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$5.5192.00%147
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$5.5192.09%147
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$5.5192.08%147
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$5.5192.00%147
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$5.5192.00%147
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$5.5192.06%147
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$5.5192.06%147
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 6.5%classified 25.9%covert 0.3%covert knife 0.0%Ancient 0.0%Classified 0.8%restricted 45.5%red 0.0%Mythical 0.0%#d32ee6 0.8%milspec 0.5%Restricted 8.7%#8847ff 8.5%Legendary 2.3%best hit —