Retro

A case on GGDROP (multicases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$55.61
Advertised RTP
92.09%
EV $51.21 from 146 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.26%
282 openings, odds method
Variance
11.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
15 openings · below min
7 days
100.18%±20.92264 openings
30 days
101.26%±19.89282 openings
since tracking started
101.26%±19.89282 openings
-0.5%109.3%219.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1560.09%±158.0—odds
7d264100.18%±20.9+0.8σodds
30d282101.26%±19.9+0.9σodds
All282101.26%±19.9+0.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values146 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 282 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$13.2K4.9%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B1 in 10,000$8000.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife1 in 2,439$7630.6%10.1—
★ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 6,667$6920.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife1 in 5,263$6710.2%00.1—
★ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 7,143$6570.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 8,333$6500.2%00.0—
★ Karambit | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 7,143$6430.2%00.0—
★ Karambit | Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 10,000$6360.1%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 9,091$6230.1%00.0—
★ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 9,091$5750.1%10.0—
AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$5570.2%10.1—
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 1,333$4880.7%00.2—
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 5,556$4620.2%10.1—
P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 6,667$4440.1%00.0—
P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 1,136$4120.7%00.2—
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 855$4120.9%00.3—
P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 746$4011.0%00.4—
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 508$3191.2%10.6—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 11 in 1,351$2830.4%00.2—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 446$2691.2%00.6—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 625$2660.8%10.5—
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 488$2641.1%10.6—
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 11 in 602$2530.8%00.5—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 613$2480.8%00.5—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 503$2290.9%00.6—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 424$2181.0%10.7—
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 667$2070.6%00.4—
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 21 in 532$1940.7%00.5—
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 595$1930.6%10.5—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 633$1880.6%00.4—
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert1 in 424$1850.9%00.7—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 350$1721.0%20.8—
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 452$1720.7%30.6—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 448$1700.7%00.6—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 218$1631.5%01.30.00×
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 625$1620.5%30.5—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 524$1580.6%10.5—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 469$1570.7%10.6—
★ Paracord Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 585$1560.5%10.5—
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,099$1530.3%00.3—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,235$1490.2%10.2—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 498$1470.6%00.6—
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 422$1420.7%00.7—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 379$1370.7%00.7—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 769$1350.3%00.4—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 667$1350.4%00.4—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 485$1330.5%10.6—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 427$1330.6%00.7—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 730$1300.3%10.4—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 2,273$1290.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,754$1280.1%00.2—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 1,149$1270.2%00.2—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 427$1270.6%00.7—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 578$1260.4%10.5—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 1,493$1220.2%00.2—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 518$1200.5%00.5—
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 420$1190.6%00.7—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 380$1170.6%10.7—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 508$1170.4%00.6—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,136$1160.2%00.2—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 513$1150.4%10.5—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 418$1150.5%00.7—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 775$1140.3%20.4—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 439$1100.5%00.6—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 581$1080.4%10.5—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 300$1080.7%40.9—
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 265$1070.8%11.10.94×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 313$1010.6%20.9—
USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 244$1010.8%21.21.73×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 361$99.380.5%00.8—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 235$98.970.8%11.20.83×
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 348$95.600.5%30.8—
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 450$94.940.4%00.6—
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 230$93.000.8%01.20.00×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 248$92.630.7%11.10.88×
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 238$92.500.8%31.22.53×
Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 270$92.210.7%51.04.78×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 224$92.110.8%11.30.80×
Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 245$91.860.7%11.20.87×
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 197$89.580.9%11.40.70×
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 195$86.730.9%31.42.07×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 129$83.191.3%12.20.46×
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 115$78.561.3%02.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 94$75.371.6%23.00.66×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 87$70.651.6%33.30.92×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 92$69.611.5%13.10.33×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 90$66.151.4%83.12.54×
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 89$63.441.4%23.20.63×
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 105$60.931.1%12.70.37×
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 89$58.251.3%43.21.27×
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 102$58.211.1%32.81.09×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$56.921.1%32.81.06×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 124$56.410.9%22.30.88×
USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 183$54.350.6%11.50.65×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 123$51.450.8%12.30.44×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 120$51.000.8%22.30.85×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 104$49.600.9%22.70.74×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 113$49.180.8%42.51.60×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 160$48.140.6%41.82.27×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 125$46.540.7%32.31.33×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 152$45.800.6%11.90.54×
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 141$45.750.6%22.01.00×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 145$45.510.6%31.91.55×
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 179$44.270.5%41.62.54×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 132$42.620.6%32.11.41×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 146$41.820.6%31.91.55×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 111$41.610.7%22.50.79×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 134$41.200.6%12.10.48×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert1 in 167$41.010.5%31.71.78×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 158$40.070.5%31.81.68×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 161$38.630.5%11.80.57×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 146$38.100.5%01.90.00×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 124$38.050.6%32.31.32×
USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 127$37.450.6%12.20.45×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 158$36.490.5%31.81.68×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 217$35.430.3%21.31.54×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 111$35.380.6%32.51.18×
USP-S | The Traitor (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 105$35.090.7%22.70.75×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 123$34.450.5%12.30.44×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 140$34.220.5%22.00.99×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 102$34.040.7%32.81.08×
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 97$33.710.7%42.91.38×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 83$33.290.8%03.40.00×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 76$31.930.8%63.71.62×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 59$30.931.0%34.80.62×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 52$30.651.1%35.40.56×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 44$28.251.3%86.51.24×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 41$27.391.3%46.90.58×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 34$20.481.2%98.21.10×
Tec-9 | Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 27$18.771.3%510.30.49×
Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 27$17.321.3%1510.61.41×
Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 23$16.781.4%1212.20.98×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 38$14.350.7%67.40.81×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 45$13.870.6%136.32.06×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 49$13.420.5%35.80.52×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 44$13.400.6%36.40.47×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 63$12.960.4%94.52.02×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 52$7.560.3%65.41.11×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 46$7.190.3%56.10.82×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 37$6.430.3%27.70.26×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 30$5.230.3%89.50.85×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 100$4.980.1%32.81.06×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 94$4.750.1%23.00.67×
StatTrak™ Music Kit | Tim Huling, Neo Noirmusic kit · #4B69FF1 in 80$1.140.0%23.50.57×
Music Kit | Tim Huling, Neo Noirmusic kit · High Grade1 in 116$0.770.0%02.40.00×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/retro, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.09%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$55.6192.09%146
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$55.6192.04%146
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$55.6192.00%146
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$55.6192.06%146
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$55.6192.10%146
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$55.6192.06%146
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$55.6192.10%146
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$55.6192.09%146
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$55.6192.06%146
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$55.6192.03%146
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$55.6192.00%146
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$55.6192.08%146
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$55.6192.00%146
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$55.6192.00%146
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$55.6192.00%146
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$55.6192.02%146
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$55.6192.00%146
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$55.6192.03%146
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$55.6192.04%146
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$55.6192.03%146
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$55.6192.10%146
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$55.6192.10%146
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$55.6192.00%146
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$55.6192.00%146
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$55.6192.00%146
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$55.6192.00%146
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$55.6192.00%146
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$55.6192.06%146
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$55.6192.03%146
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$55.6192.00%146
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 0.5%#EB4B4B 0.0%other 0.1%covert 36.2%Covert 2.3%covert knife 0.2%extraordinary 1.1%classified 42.0%rare 0.2%epic 0.2%#eb4b4b 1.5%red 2.7%Ancient 3.5%#d32ee6 1.3%Classified 2.4%pink 2.6%Legendary 1.0%#4B69FF 1.2%High Grade 0.9%best hit $779 (14.02x)