Flip

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$250.00

Advertised RTP

88.00%

EV $220.01 from 184 items

Observed RTP, 30d

90.52%

9 openings, odds method

Variance

0.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

34.2%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

8 openings · below min

30 days

9 openings · below min

since tracking started

9 openings · below min

65.0%93.5%122.0%

Small sample. 9 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	8	94.78%±26.4	—	odds
30d	9	90.52%±24.9	—	odds
All	9	90.52%±24.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values184 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 376	$660	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 364	$637	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 327	$573	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 324	$567	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 315	$553	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 282	$495	0.8%	1	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 270	$473	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 270	$473	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 267	$469	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 262	$461	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 262	$459	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 259	$455	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 254	$444	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 253	$444	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 253	$442	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 248	$434	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 246	$432	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 240	$422	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 240	$422	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 239	$419	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 224	$394	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 219	$384	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 218	$382	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 216	$379	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 215	$376	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 210	$368	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 206	$361	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 205	$360	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 202	$354	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 202	$354	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 196	$345	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 196	$344	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 188	$330	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 181	$317	0.8%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 179	$313	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 171	$299	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 168	$295	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 164	$288	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 161	$281	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 159	$279	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 158	$277	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 156	$273	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 153	$269	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 152	$266	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 151	$265	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 149	$261	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 145	$254	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 144	$253	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 143	$251	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 143	$251	0.8%	1	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 141	$247	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 138	$241	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 137	$240	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 137	$240	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 135	$236	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 134	$235	0.8%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 134	$234	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 133	$233	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 131	$230	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 131	$230	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 130	$227	0.8%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 130	$227	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 129	$226	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 129	$225	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 127	$222	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 126	$220	0.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 248	$220	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 246	$218	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 246	$218	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 242	$214	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 242	$214	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 240	$212	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 238	$211	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 237	$210	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 236	$209	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 234	$207	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 234	$207	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 233	$206	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 231	$204	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 229	$203	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 225	$199	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 225	$198	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 224	$198	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 223	$197	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 223	$197	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 221	$195	0.4%	1	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 219	$194	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 219	$194	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 216	$191	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 213	$188	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 212	$188	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 211	$187	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 210	$185	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 208	$184	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 206	$182	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 205	$182	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 205	$181	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 204	$181	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 203	$180	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 203	$179	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 201	$178	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$176	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 199	$176	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 198	$175	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 197	$174	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 197	$174	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 197	$174	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 197	$174	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 196	$173	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 195	$173	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 195	$172	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 195	$172	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 194	$172	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 193	$171	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 193	$171	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 193	$170	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 191	$169	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 190	$168	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 190	$168	0.4%	1	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 190	$168	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 189	$167	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 189	$167	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd700	1 in 189	$167	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 188	$166	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 186	$164	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 186	$164	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 185	$164	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 185	$163	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 184	$163	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 183	$162	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 183	$162	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 183	$162	0.4%	1	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 182	$161	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 182	$160	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 181	$160	0.4%	1	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 181	$160	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 180	$159	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 179	$158	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 178	$157	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 176	$156	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 175	$155	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 175	$155	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 174	$154	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 174	$154	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 174	$154	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 173	$153	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 173	$153	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 173	$153	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 173	$153	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700	1 in 172	$152	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 172	$152	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 172	$152	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 171	$151	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 170	$150	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 170	$150	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 168	$148	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 168	$148	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 168	$148	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 167	$147	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 166	$147	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 166	$147	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 166	$147	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 166	$146	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 165	$146	0.4%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 165	$146	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 165	$146	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 164	$145	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700	1 in 163	$144	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 162	$143	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 162	$143	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 161	$143	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 161	$142	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 158	$140	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 157	$139	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 156	$138	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 156	$138	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 155	$137	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 154	$136	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700	1 in 152	$135	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 152	$134	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 151	$134	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 151	$134	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 136	$120	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 127	$112	0.4%	0	0.1	—

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/flip, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeM@GMA_^$250$2270.91x3d

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knifezat$250$4951.98x4d

★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covertzat$250$2480.99x4d

★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covertzat$250$2300.92x4d

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knifezat$250$1950.78x4d

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knifezat$250$1600.64x4d

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covertzat$250$1730.69x4d

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knifevor_v_tyurme$250$1680.67x6d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$250	87.96%	184
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$250	88.00%	184
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$250	88.00%	184

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 54.0%covert 36.6%sunny 2.2%#ffd700 4.7%Immortal 0.4%Covert 1.1%gold 1.1%best hit —