Gamma Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$260.00

Advertised RTP

86.01%

EV $223.63 from 212 items

Observed RTP, 30d

92.99%

36 openings, odds method

Variance

0.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

19.8%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

78.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

34 openings · below min

30 days

36 openings · below min

since tracking started

36 openings · below min

64.0%93.8%123.5%

Small sample. 36 openings and 7.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	34	93.82%±29.1	—	odds
30d	36	92.99%±28.3	—	odds
All	36	92.99%±28.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values212 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,326	$2,638	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 1,587	$1,796	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,429	$1,629	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 1,449	$1,628	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,389	$1,582	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 1,351	$1,539	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,299	$1,468	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,220	$1,375	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 1,205	$1,375	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 1,136	$1,289	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,099	$1,241	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 1,075	$1,221	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,075	$1,210	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 1,064	$1,204	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 1,042	$1,180	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,031	$1,176	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 990	$1,120	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 990	$1,120	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 971	$1,100	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 885	$1,006	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 885	$1,004	0.5%	1	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 877	$990	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 862	$979	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 862	$978	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 855	$968	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 840	$949	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 806	$912	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 800	$908	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 800	$902	0.5%	1	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 794	$896	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 758	$857	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 730	$824	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 719	$813	0.5%	1	0.1	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 685	$778	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 671	$762	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 671	$758	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 662	$750	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 613	$692	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 599	$676	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 585	$659	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · rare	1 in 575	$648	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 571	$644	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 565	$639	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 562	$637	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 559	$634	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 552	$625	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 541	$612	0.5%	1	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 538	$606	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 532	$602	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 529	$600	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 515	$585	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 510	$577	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 508	$577	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 510	$575	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 508	$575	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B	1 in 498	$562	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 493	$555	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 485	$550	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 485	$549	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 472	$534	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 457	$517	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 448	$508	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 437	$494	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 437	$493	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 435	$492	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 417	$471	0.5%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 405	$459	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 405	$458	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 403	$455	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 394	$444	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 394	$444	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 389	$440	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 388	$437	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 376	$425	0.5%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 369	$418	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 369	$417	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 362	$409	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 356	$402	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 355	$401	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 352	$399	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 347	$393	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 336	$379	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 332	$375	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 327	$370	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · knifes	1 in 321	$362	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 312	$352	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 309	$349	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 305	$344	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 302	$341	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 287	$325	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 276	$313	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 275	$312	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 271	$306	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 270	$305	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 267	$301	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 265	$299	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 263	$298	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 255	$288	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 250	$283	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 249	$282	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 242	$273	0.5%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 238	$269	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 238	$269	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 229	$259	0.5%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 223	$252	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 222	$251	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 222	$251	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 217	$245	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 212	$240	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 212	$240	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 208	$235	0.5%	1	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 207	$234	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 207	$234	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 206	$233	0.5%	1	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 206	$233	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 206	$233	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 202	$229	0.5%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 201	$227	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 201	$227	0.5%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$226	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 199	$225	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 199	$225	0.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 235	$223	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 234	$222	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 231	$219	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 229	$218	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 229	$218	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 226	$214	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 224	$214	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 223	$212	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 223	$212	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 220	$210	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 216	$206	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 208	$198	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 207	$197	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 207	$197	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 206	$196	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 204	$195	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 204	$194	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 204	$194	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 198	$188	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 197	$187	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 196	$187	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 195	$185	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 194	$184	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 192	$182	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 188	$179	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 184	$175	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 183	$174	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 181	$172	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 180	$171	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 180	$171	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 179	$171	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 177	$169	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd700	1 in 175	$167	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 175	$166	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 173	$164	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 172	$164	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 170	$162	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 170	$162	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 169	$160	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 167	$159	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 166	$158	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 163	$156	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 162	$154	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 157	$150	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 155	$147	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 151	$144	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 150	$143	0.4%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 149	$142	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 149	$141	0.4%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 144	$137	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 141	$134	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 141	$134	0.4%	3	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 137	$130	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 135	$128	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 134	$128	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 133	$126	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 131	$125	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 126	$120	0.4%	1	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 122	$116	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 122	$116	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 118	$112	0.4%	1	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 117	$112	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 106	$101	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 106	$101	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 104	$99.38	0.4%	1	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 101	$95.86	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 100	$95.47	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 98	$93.17	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 96	$91.06	0.4%	1	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 95	$90.35	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 93	$88.36	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 90	$85.70	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 87	$82.90	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 85	$80.67	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 85	$80.61	0.4%	1	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 84	$80.12	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 84	$80.08	0.4%	2	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 81	$76.97	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 81	$76.66	0.4%	1	0.4	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 80	$76.54	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 80	$76.41	0.4%	1	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 80	$76.26	0.4%	0	0.4	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · gold	1 in 79	$75.29	0.4%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 75	$71.07	0.4%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 74	$69.92	0.4%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 73	$69.32	0.4%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 72	$68.15	0.4%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · gold	1 in 71	$67.75	0.4%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 71	$67.13	0.4%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 69	$65.26	0.4%	0	0.5	—

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/gamma-knives, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covertzat$260$1,0043.86x2d

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covertzat$260$9023.47x2d

★ Karambit | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covertzat$260$8133.13x2d

★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertzat$260$6122.35x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knifekick : Twillv98$260$2100.81x1d

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knifekick : Twillv98$260$2290.88x1d

★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covertkick : Twillv98$260$69.250.27x1d

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covertpareidefumar$260$91.060.35x1d

★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertzat$260$6122.35x2d

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knifezat$260$1440.55x2d

★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covertzat$260$76.410.29x2d

★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covertzat$260$4251.63x2d

★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covertzat$260$71.070.27x2d

★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covertzat$260$4711.81x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.01%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$260	86.01%	212
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$260	85.99%	212
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$260	85.99%	212
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$260	85.89%	212
3 Nov, 15:54 UTC	$260	86.00%	212
3 Nov, 05:35 UTC	$260	86.01%	212

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 37.2%gold 9.5%Covert 2.5%covert 46.2%#ffd700 2.0%rare 0.2%#EB4B4B 0.2%epic 0.2%knifes 0.3%sunny 1.0%Immortal 0.6%best hit $1,004 (3.86x)