Ziemia

A case on Hellcase (poland-cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$3.20
Advertised RTP
88.13%
EV $2.82 from 146 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
11.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values146 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 50,000$4940.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 33,333$4620.5%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$4550.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 50,000$4440.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 33,333$3270.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 33,333$3130.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 33,333$2950.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 25,000$2940.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 33,333$2750.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 25,000$2730.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 33,333$2660.3%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 33,333$2580.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 25,000$2340.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 25,000$2330.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 25,000$2250.3%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 25,000$2220.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 20,000$2180.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 25,000$2160.3%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 20,000$2120.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 20,000$2050.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20,000$1910.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 20,000$1910.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 16,667$1810.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 20,000$1810.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 20,000$1760.3%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 16,667$1750.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 16,667$1650.4%00.0—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20,000$1640.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 16,667$1570.3%00.0—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 14,286$1520.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 14,286$1500.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 14,286$1470.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 14,286$1470.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 14,286$1460.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 16,667$1420.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 16,667$1410.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 14,286$1400.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 14,286$1380.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 16,667$1380.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 14,286$1350.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 14,286$1330.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 12,500$1300.4%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 12,500$1260.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 12,500$1220.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 12,500$1180.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 12,500$1180.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 11,111$1120.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 12,500$1090.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1090.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$1040.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 10,000$99.830.4%00.0—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$97.940.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 8,333$79.260.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,692$74.140.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 7,692$73.890.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 7,692$72.690.3%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$66.500.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 6,250$61.240.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,882$55.450.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert1 in 5,556$53.350.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 4,762$46.450.3%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 4,348$42.200.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 4,348$41.640.3%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 4,167$40.400.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 4,167$39.160.3%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 4,000$38.260.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 4,000$38.070.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 4,000$37.820.3%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 3,704$34.920.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · Ancient1 in 3,571$34.780.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 3,448$32.970.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 3,448$32.880.3%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 3,333$31.710.3%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 3,125$30.220.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 3,030$28.750.3%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 2,857$27.400.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 2,778$26.680.3%00.0—
MP9 | Airlock (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,778$26.360.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,500$24.240.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 2,500$24.040.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 2,500$23.990.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Well-Worn)weapon · rare1 in 2,500$23.510.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare1 in 2,381$22.850.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,326$22.370.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,222$21.150.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,222$21.070.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 2,041$19.470.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,000$19.330.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,000$19.010.3%00.0—
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 1,961$18.720.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 1,639$15.780.3%00.0—
MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,587$15.310.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,587$15.080.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 1,562$14.940.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,562$14.800.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 1,493$14.400.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,493$14.270.3%00.0—
MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,471$13.910.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 1,449$13.820.3%00.0—
MP9 | Airlock (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 1,389$13.410.3%00.0—
MP9 | Airlock (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,316$12.580.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,299$12.300.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,282$12.200.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,235$11.950.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,149$11.010.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,111$10.680.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 990$9.450.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 926$8.830.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 926$8.820.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 870$8.280.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 840$8.000.3%00.0—
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 820$7.830.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 775$7.410.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 769$7.340.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 752$7.190.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 741$7.070.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 709$6.790.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 676$6.460.3%00.0—
MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)weapon · 31 in 658$6.270.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 526$5.040.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 518$4.960.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 505$4.820.3%00.0—
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 474$4.530.3%00.0—
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 415$3.980.3%00.0—
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 405$3.870.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 365$3.490.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 356$3.400.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 332$3.170.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 296$2.830.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 29$2.673.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet1 in 28$2.653.3%00.0—
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · Restricted1 in 26$2.463.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 26$2.443.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 25$2.353.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 25$2.343.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 24$2.233.3%00.0—
MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 23$2.163.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 23$2.113.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 20$1.823.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 16$1.463.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 16$1.453.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 13$1.203.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 13$1.183.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 13$1.183.3%00.0—
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 12$1.143.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 12$1.133.3%00.0—
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/ziemia, 10 Nov, 02:23 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC$3.2088.13%146
8 Nov, 19:58 UTC$3.2088.09%146
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC$3.2087.92%146
6 Nov, 05:20 UTC$3.2088.08%146
4 Nov, 16:30 UTC$3.2088.10%146
3 Nov, 10:07 UTC$3.2088.03%146
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC$3.2088.08%146
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 0.2%covert 0.3%covert knife 0.0%red 0.1%classified 2.1%Classified 0.2%gold 0.0%Ancient 0.1%Legendary 0.2%Covert 0.0%rare 0.2%pink 0.8%#eb4b4b 0.0%Mythical 35.9%#d32ee6 0.2%violet 28.3%restricted 18.1%Restricted 9.1%#8847ff 4.2%