Juicy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$196.86
281 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.96%
908 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
35 openings · below min
7 days
757 openings · below min
30 days
908 openings · below min
since tracking started
908 openings · below min
54.5%129.8%205.0%

Small sample. 908 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h35129.74%±74.5—sample
7d75788.61%±8.40—sample
30d90887.96%±7.27—sample
All90887.96%±7.27—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$197281 coins$2,6743,820 coins13.58x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$197281 coins$1,5722,245 coins7.98x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$197281 coins$1,5722,245 coins7.98x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$197281 coins$1,5722,245 coins7.98x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covertSmabu$197281 coins$1,5722,245 coins7.98x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$197281 coins$1,2361,765 coins6.28x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedArsenR$197281 coins$1,2361,765 coins6.28x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$197281 coins$228326 coins1.16x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red$197281 coins$194277 coins0.98x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red$197281 coins$194277 coins0.98x
Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$197281 coins$106151 coins0.54x
M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$197281 coins$228326 coins1.16x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red$197281 coins$194277 coins0.98x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,531 (17.94x)