GLOWING STONE JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$491.14
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $429.75 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.48%
333 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 397 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/glowing-stone-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $491 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $491 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $491 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $497 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $501 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $499 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $500 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $501 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $502 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $503 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $507 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $511 | 87.50% | 54 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 44.4%gold 6.5%legendary 1.1%sunny 6.9%epic 1.1%extraordinary 7.6%Covert 1.1%#ffd700 0.9%classified 2.9%rare 2.2%violet 13.0%#d32ce6 2.2%pink 1.4%gray 4.3%blue 4.3%best hit $2,426 (4.75x)