Giftblast
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$5.98
Advertised RTP
93.89%
EV $5.61 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.80%
204 openings, odds method
Variance
4.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/giftblast/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $5.98 | 93.89% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.14 | 91.44% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.14 | 92.63% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%legendary 0.0%sunny 0.0%epic 0.0%gold 0.1%rare 1.1%restricted 0.4%red 1.0%Ancient 0.2%classified 13.5%pink 13.7%Legendary 3.4%#8847ff 20.6%#d32ee6 5.7%Restricted 6.9%Mythical 15.3%#d32ce6 6.5%violet 6.3%Rare 5.3%best hit —