M4 Case

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$5.25

Advertised RTP

85.99%

EV $4.51 from 452 items

Observed RTP, 30d

76.68%

4,291 openings, odds method

Variance

13.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 44

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

91.92%±37.17376 openings

7 days

78.56%±11.943,660 openings

30 days

76.68%±11.044,291 openings

since tracking started

76.68%±11.044,291 openings

54.0%91.8%129.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	376	91.92%±37.2	+0.3σ	odds
7d	3,660	78.56%±11.9	−1.2σ	odds
30d	4,291	76.68%±11.0	−1.7σ	odds
All	4,291	76.68%±11.0	−1.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values452 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,295 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$1,785	0.4%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary	1 in 100,000	$1,532	0.3%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$965	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Daybreak (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$831	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$777	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$680	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$593	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$540	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Daybreak (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$468	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$465	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$441	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear)weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 100,000	$409	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$361	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$343	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$343	0.1%	1	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$338	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| The Coalition (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 100,000	$325	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$317	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$303	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$297	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$289	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$282	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$280	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$275	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$273	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$273	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 100,000	$253	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$253	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Daybreak (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$242	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$238	0.3%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$235	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 20,000	$232	0.3%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$226	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$224	0.2%	0	0.2	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$222	0.2%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$222	0.2%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$220	0.2%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$217	0.2%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$215	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$215	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$212	0.2%	1	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$212	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$210	0.2%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 16,667	$209	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$207	0.2%	0	0.2	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$203	0.2%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$198	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$191	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 16,667	$187	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$187	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Tornado (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 14,286	$182	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$181	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$179	0.2%	1	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 16,667	$178	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 14,286	$176	0.3%	1	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$175	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 14,286	$171	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$168	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$165	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 14,286	$164	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$164	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$160	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$159	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$156	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$156	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$155	0.2%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$154	0.2%	1	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$153	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 14,286	$153	0.2%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$152	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 12,500	$151	0.3%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 14,286	$151	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$150	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 12,500	$149	0.3%	2	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$149	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$149	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 12,500	$149	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 12,500	$148	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 12,500	$146	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$145	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$145	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$144	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$143	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$142	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$140	0.3%	1	0.4	—
M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 12,500	$139	0.2%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$138	0.3%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 11,111	$137	0.3%	2	0.4	—
M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 12,500	$137	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$136	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$135	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 12,500	$133	0.2%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 11,111	$132	0.3%	0	0.4	—
M4A4 \| The Coalition (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 11,111	$129	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 10,000	$125	0.3%	0	0.4	—
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 11,111	$123	0.2%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$123	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$122	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$122	0.3%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$121	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$121	0.2%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$119	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 10,000	$118	0.3%	0	0.4	—
M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$117	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$114	0.3%	0	0.4	—
M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 10,000	$113	0.3%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$113	0.2%	1	0.4	—
M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$113	0.2%	1	0.4	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$112	0.3%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$112	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$111	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$111	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$111	0.2%	0	0.4	—
M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 10,000	$109	0.2%	1	0.4	—
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$109	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$108	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 9,091	$106	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$105	0.3%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$104	0.3%	1	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$103	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$102	0.2%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$101	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 9,091	$99.85	0.2%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$99.79	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 8,333	$99.49	0.3%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$98.99	0.3%	2	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$98.17	0.3%	2	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$97.94	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$97.92	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$96.84	0.3%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$96.35	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$95.89	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$95.68	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$95.02	0.3%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$94.53	0.3%	1	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$93.02	0.2%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$92.79	0.2%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$92.69	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 7,692	$91.10	0.3%	1	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$89.11	0.3%	2	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,692	$88.24	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$86.32	0.2%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$85.47	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 7,143	$84.41	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 7,143	$83.24	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 7,143	$83.09	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$82.27	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$81.90	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,143	$81.69	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$81.65	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$80.93	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$80.86	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,143	$80.27	0.2%	2	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$80.19	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$80.14	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$79.26	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Hellfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$79.25	0.3%	2	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$79.20	0.2%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$77.23	0.3%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$76.88	0.3%	2	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$74.44	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$73.79	0.2%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$73.36	0.3%	0	0.7	—
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,250	$72.89	0.3%	1	0.7	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$72.47	0.3%	0	0.7	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$72.24	0.3%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$71.91	0.3%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$71.28	0.3%	0	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$70.77	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$70.14	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$69.47	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$69.15	0.2%	0	0.7	—
M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 5,882	$68.96	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 5,882	$68.85	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$68.64	0.3%	0	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,882	$68.03	0.3%	2	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$67.94	0.3%	1	0.8	—
M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$67.25	0.3%	1	0.8	—
M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$67.19	0.3%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$66.21	0.2%	0	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 5,556	$65.94	0.3%	0	0.8	—
M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$65.63	0.2%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$63.11	0.3%	0	0.8	—
M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$62.56	0.2%	1	0.8	—
M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 5,263	$61.33	0.3%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,263	$60.71	0.3%	0	0.8	—
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 5,263	$60.68	0.3%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,000	$59.95	0.3%	0	0.9	—
M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,000	$59.80	0.3%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 5,000	$59.01	0.3%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,762	$55.55	0.3%	0	0.9	—
M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 4,762	$55.35	0.3%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,545	$54.34	0.3%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,545	$54.13	0.3%	1	0.9	—
M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 4,545	$51.73	0.3%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,167	$50.30	0.3%	2	1.0	1.94×
M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$49.69	0.3%	0	1.0	0.00×
M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 4,348	$49.43	0.3%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 4,167	$48.57	0.3%	0	1.0	0.00×
M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$48.37	0.3%	1	1.0	0.97×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,167	$48.26	0.3%	0	1.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 4,000	$48.16	0.3%	4	1.1	3.73×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$46.93	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$46.23	0.3%	1	1.1	0.93×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,846	$44.46	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,704	$44.08	0.3%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,704	$43.48	0.3%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,571	$41.83	0.3%	1	1.2	0.83×
M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,571	$41.79	0.3%	2	1.2	1.66×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$41.27	0.3%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,571	$40.95	0.3%	1	1.2	0.83×
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 3,333	$39.31	0.3%	1	1.3	0.78×
M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 3,448	$39.31	0.3%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,333	$38.94	0.3%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$38.79	0.3%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 3,333	$38.76	0.3%	0	1.3	0.00×
M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 3,226	$38.73	0.3%	1	1.3	0.75×
M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$38.70	0.3%	2	1.3	1.55×
M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,333	$38.70	0.3%	1	1.3	0.78×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 3,333	$38.40	0.3%	2	1.3	1.55×
M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,333	$38.36	0.3%	1	1.3	0.78×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$38.21	0.3%	4	1.3	3.00×
M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,226	$37.95	0.3%	2	1.3	1.50×
M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,125	$37.41	0.3%	1	1.4	0.73×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$37.37	0.3%	5	1.3	3.76×
M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,226	$37.13	0.3%	0	1.3	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 3,125	$36.78	0.3%	2	1.4	1.46×
M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 3,226	$36.75	0.3%	2	1.3	1.50×
M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted	1 in 3,125	$36.15	0.3%	5	1.4	3.64×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 3,030	$35.85	0.3%	0	1.4	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,125	$35.82	0.3%	3	1.4	2.18×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,030	$35.82	0.3%	2	1.4	1.41×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,030	$35.67	0.3%	1	1.4	0.71×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,030	$35.39	0.3%	3	1.4	2.12×
M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 3,030	$35.28	0.3%	2	1.4	1.41×
M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 3,030	$35.17	0.3%	1	1.4	0.71×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,030	$34.60	0.3%	1	1.4	0.71×
M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,941	$34.31	0.3%	2	1.5	1.37×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,941	$34.06	0.3%	2	1.5	1.37×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,857	$33.51	0.3%	0	1.5	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,857	$33.33	0.3%	1	1.5	0.67×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 2,778	$32.65	0.3%	3	1.5	1.94×
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 2,778	$31.90	0.3%	4	1.5	2.59×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,778	$31.89	0.3%	3	1.5	1.94×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,703	$31.06	0.3%	2	1.6	1.26×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,632	$30.96	0.3%	5	1.6	3.06×
M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 2,632	$30.83	0.3%	3	1.6	1.84×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,632	$30.79	0.3%	1	1.6	0.61×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,632	$30.72	0.3%	3	1.6	1.84×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 2,632	$30.61	0.3%	0	1.6	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 2,564	$30.06	0.3%	0	1.7	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,564	$29.92	0.3%	2	1.7	1.19×
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 2,564	$29.64	0.3%	1	1.7	0.60×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,564	$29.55	0.3%	0	1.7	0.00×
M4A4 \| Zirka (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,564	$29.49	0.3%	4	1.7	2.39×
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 2,500	$29.16	0.3%	1	1.7	0.58×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,500	$28.97	0.3%	6	1.7	3.49×
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 2,500	$28.87	0.3%	3	1.7	1.75×
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 2,439	$28.77	0.3%	3	1.8	1.70×
M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,381	$27.73	0.3%	0	1.8	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 2,381	$27.68	0.3%	1	1.8	0.55×
M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 2,381	$27.35	0.3%	4	1.8	2.22×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,273	$26.52	0.3%	0	1.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 2,273	$26.48	0.3%	4	1.9	2.12×
M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 2,273	$26.44	0.3%	3	1.9	1.59×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,222	$26.14	0.3%	1	1.9	0.52×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,222	$26.13	0.3%	0	1.9	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,222	$25.82	0.3%	2	1.9	1.03×
M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 2,174	$25.59	0.3%	0	2.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,174	$25.21	0.3%	1	2.0	0.51×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,128	$25.12	0.3%	1	2.0	0.50×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,174	$25.01	0.3%	2	2.0	1.01×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,128	$24.80	0.3%	2	2.0	0.99×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$24.25	0.3%	2	2.1	0.97×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$23.61	0.3%	4	2.1	1.86×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$23.51	0.3%	2	2.1	0.93×
M4A4 \| Tornado (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 2,000	$23.20	0.3%	3	2.1	1.40×
M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,923	$22.39	0.3%	6	2.2	2.69×
M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 1,887	$22.37	0.3%	1	2.3	0.44×
M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 1,852	$21.65	0.3%	2	2.3	0.86×
M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 1,852	$21.29	0.3%	1	2.3	0.43×
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 1,786	$20.85	0.3%	2	2.4	0.83×
M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 1,695	$19.85	0.3%	3	2.5	1.18×
M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,639	$19.16	0.3%	3	2.6	1.15×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,639	$19.00	0.3%	2	2.6	0.76×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,587	$18.70	0.3%	0	2.7	0.00×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,587	$18.68	0.3%	7	2.7	2.59×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,562	$18.13	0.3%	10	2.7	3.64×
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,515	$17.46	0.3%	2	2.8	0.71×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,449	$16.81	0.3%	3	3.0	1.01×
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 1,389	$16.23	0.3%	4	3.1	1.29×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,389	$16.14	0.3%	7	3.1	2.26×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,370	$15.80	0.3%	1	3.1	0.32×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 1,351	$15.74	0.3%	5	3.2	1.57×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,333	$15.58	0.3%	3	3.2	0.93×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 1,316	$15.28	0.3%	2	3.3	0.61×
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 1,299	$15.08	0.3%	4	3.3	1.21×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 1,266	$14.85	0.3%	2	3.4	0.59×
M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,266	$14.78	0.3%	4	3.4	1.18×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,220	$14.24	0.3%	3	3.5	0.85×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,220	$14.24	0.3%	3	3.5	0.85×
M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,205	$14.17	0.3%	4	3.6	1.12×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,220	$14.12	0.3%	5	3.5	1.42×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 1,190	$14.02	0.3%	2	3.6	0.55×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,190	$13.94	0.3%	8	3.6	2.22×
M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,190	$13.88	0.3%	1	3.6	0.28×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 1,190	$13.80	0.3%	1	3.6	0.28×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,190	$13.74	0.3%	4	3.6	1.11×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,176	$13.61	0.3%	2	3.7	0.55×
M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 1,163	$13.54	0.3%	4	3.7	1.08×
M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,149	$13.36	0.3%	3	3.7	0.80×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,124	$13.15	0.3%	2	3.8	0.52×
M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,111	$12.96	0.3%	4	3.9	1.03×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,111	$12.90	0.3%	3	3.9	0.78×
M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,087	$12.68	0.3%	7	4.0	1.77×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 1,031	$12.06	0.3%	6	4.2	1.44×
M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,031	$11.97	0.3%	5	4.2	1.20×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 1,020	$11.95	0.3%	6	4.2	1.43×
M4A1-S \| Nitro (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,020	$11.86	0.3%	4	4.2	0.95×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 971	$11.42	0.3%	5	4.4	1.13×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 980	$11.40	0.3%	5	4.4	1.14×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 971	$11.38	0.3%	1	4.4	0.23×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 971	$11.31	0.3%	5	4.4	1.13×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 962	$11.28	0.3%	4	4.5	0.90×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 962	$11.25	0.3%	2	4.5	0.45×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 962	$11.24	0.3%	4	4.5	0.90×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 962	$11.17	0.3%	3	4.5	0.67×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 935	$10.91	0.3%	1	4.6	0.22×
M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 917	$10.70	0.3%	3	4.7	0.64×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 893	$10.37	0.3%	4	4.8	0.83×
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 855	$9.99	0.3%	6	5.0	1.19×
M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 820	$9.59	0.3%	10	5.2	1.91×
M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 820	$9.57	0.3%	5	5.2	0.95×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 813	$9.50	0.3%	3	5.3	0.57×
M4A4 \| Tornado (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 787	$9.18	0.3%	8	5.5	1.47×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 775	$9.06	0.3%	6	5.5	1.08×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 769	$8.99	0.3%	2	5.6	0.36×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 758	$8.87	0.3%	8	5.7	1.41×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 725	$8.45	0.3%	3	5.9	0.51×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 719	$8.35	0.3%	1	6.0	0.17×
M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 714	$8.28	0.3%	7	6.0	1.16×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 704	$8.18	0.3%	2	6.1	0.33×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 676	$7.90	0.3%	5	6.4	0.79×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 676	$7.88	0.3%	6	6.4	0.94×
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 676	$7.87	0.3%	8	6.4	1.26×
M4A4 \| Tornado (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 671	$7.87	0.3%	12	6.4	1.88×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 667	$7.74	0.3%	5	6.4	0.78×
M4A4 \| Tornado (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 641	$7.46	0.3%	8	6.7	1.19×
M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 633	$7.39	0.3%	10	6.8	1.47×
M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 633	$7.38	0.3%	7	6.8	1.03×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 629	$7.31	0.3%	10	6.8	1.46×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 613	$7.18	0.3%	13	7.0	1.86×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 585	$6.84	0.3%	10	7.3	1.36×
M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 578	$6.73	0.3%	9	7.4	1.21×
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 568	$6.64	0.3%	4	7.6	0.53×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 556	$6.49	0.3%	2	7.7	0.26×
M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 543	$6.34	0.3%	9	7.9	1.14×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 541	$6.31	0.3%	5	7.9	0.63×
M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 541	$6.31	0.3%	9	7.9	1.13×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 538	$6.26	0.3%	9	8.0	1.13×
M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 515	$6.00	0.3%	16	8.3	1.92×
M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 450	$5.25	0.3%	9	9.5	0.94×
M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 444	$5.19	0.3%	14	9.7	1.45×
M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 444	$5.17	0.3%	12	9.7	1.24×
M4A4 \| Griffin (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 439	$5.12	0.3%	9	9.8	0.92×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 426	$4.96	0.3%	11	10.1	1.09×
M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 418	$4.88	0.3%	13	10.3	1.27×
M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 417	$4.86	0.3%	11	10.3	1.07×
M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 413	$4.82	0.3%	12	10.4	1.15×
M4A1-S \| Briefing (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 408	$4.77	0.3%	10	10.5	0.95×
M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 408	$4.76	0.3%	10	10.5	0.95×
M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 407	$4.73	0.3%	8	10.6	0.76×
M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 388	$4.52	0.3%	7	11.1	0.63×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 383	$4.47	0.3%	11	11.2	0.98×
M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 383	$4.47	0.3%	10	11.2	0.89×
M4A1-S \| Briefing (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 377	$4.40	0.3%	14	11.4	1.23×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 990	$4.20	0.1%	5	4.3	1.15×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 962	$4.09	0.1%	8	4.5	1.79×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 901	$3.81	0.1%	5	4.8	1.05×
M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 901	$3.80	0.1%	4	4.8	0.84×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 877	$3.72	0.1%	8	4.9	1.63×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 855	$3.62	0.1%	7	5.0	1.39×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 847	$3.61	0.1%	10	5.1	1.97×
M4A4 \| Griffin (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 847	$3.58	0.1%	8	5.1	1.58×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 840	$3.55	0.1%	10	5.1	1.96×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 840	$3.54	0.1%	5	5.1	0.98×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 781	$3.30	0.1%	12	5.5	2.18×
M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 658	$2.78	0.1%	5	6.5	0.77×
M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 645	$2.73	0.1%	8	6.7	1.20×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 629	$2.66	0.1%	5	6.8	0.73×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 613	$2.59	0.1%	9	7.0	1.29×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 559	$2.36	0.1%	10	7.7	1.30×
M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 521	$2.20	0.1%	13	8.2	1.58×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 510	$2.16	0.1%	8	8.4	0.95×
M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 476	$2.01	0.1%	3	9.0	0.33×
M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 461	$1.95	0.1%	10	9.3	1.07×
M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 461	$1.95	0.1%	8	9.3	0.86×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 448	$1.90	0.1%	9	9.6	0.94×
M4A4 \| Converter (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 442	$1.87	0.1%	9	9.7	0.93×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 429	$1.82	0.1%	7	10.0	0.70×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 377	$1.60	0.1%	13	11.4	1.14×
M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 346	$1.46	0.1%	16	12.4	1.29×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 342	$1.45	0.1%	10	12.5	0.80×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 340	$1.44	0.1%	11	12.6	0.87×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 322	$1.36	0.1%	13	13.4	0.97×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 293	$1.24	0.1%	15	14.6	1.02×
M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 281	$1.19	0.1%	13	15.3	0.85×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 282	$1.19	0.1%	11	15.2	0.72×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 276	$1.17	0.1%	12	15.5	0.77×
M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 267	$1.13	0.1%	15	16.1	0.93×
M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 262	$1.11	0.1%	25	16.4	1.53×
M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 253	$1.07	0.1%	23	17.0	1.36×
M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 227	$0.96	0.1%	14	18.9	0.74×
M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 216	$0.91	0.1%	15	19.9	0.75×
M4A4 \| Converter (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 216	$0.91	0.1%	23	19.9	1.15×
M4A4 \| Converter (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 213	$0.90	0.1%	13	20.2	0.64×
M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 211	$0.89	0.1%	21	20.4	1.03×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 208	$0.88	0.1%	27	20.6	1.31×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 182	$0.77	0.1%	21	23.6	0.89×
M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted	1 in 170	$0.72	0.1%	33	25.3	1.31×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 170	$0.72	0.1%	23	25.2	0.91×
M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 168	$0.71	0.1%	18	25.6	0.70×
M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 166	$0.70	0.1%	23	25.9	0.89×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 147	$0.62	0.1%	24	29.3	0.82×
M4A1-S \| Nitro (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 144	$0.61	0.1%	24	29.8	0.81×
M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 144	$0.61	0.1%	26	29.8	0.87×
M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 130	$0.55	0.1%	32	33.0	0.97×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 87	$0.37	0.1%	50	49.1	1.02×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 83	$0.35	0.1%	55	51.9	1.06×
M4A4 \| Mainframe (Factory New)weapon · light blue	1 in 80	$0.34	0.1%	57	53.4	1.07×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 78	$0.33	0.1%	48	55.0	0.87×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 78	$0.33	0.1%	64	55.1	1.16×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 78	$0.33	0.1%	54	55.0	0.98×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 76	$0.32	0.1%	56	56.8	0.99×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 76	$0.32	0.1%	54	56.8	0.95×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 50	$0.21	0.1%	84	86.5	0.97×
M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 43	$0.18	0.1%	84	100.9	0.83×
M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 40	$0.17	0.1%	109	106.9	1.02×
M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 40	$0.17	0.1%	106	106.9	0.99×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 40	$0.17	0.1%	116	106.9	1.09×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 38	$0.16	0.1%	100	113.5	0.88×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 38	$0.16	0.1%	92	113.5	0.81×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 35	$0.15	0.1%	138	121.1	1.14×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare	1 in 33	$0.14	0.1%	155	129.8	1.19×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 33	$0.14	0.1%	115	129.8	0.89×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 28	$0.12	0.1%	159	151.4	1.05×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 28	$0.12	0.1%	137	151.4	0.91×
M4A4 \| Mainframe (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueLight	1 in 28	$0.12	0.1%	136	151.4	0.90×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 24	$0.10	0.1%	174	181.6	0.96×
M4A4 \| Mainframe (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 21	$0.09	0.1%	246	201.8	1.22×
M4A4 \| Mainframe (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 19	$0.08	0.1%	227	227.0	1.00×
M4A4 \| Mainframe (Well-Worn)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 19	$0.08	0.1%	218	227.1	0.96×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/m4, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covertHOXBC$5.25$34365.31x14h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommonhubiogr$5.25$0.090.02x3m

M4A4 | Mainframe (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ffhubiogr$5.25$0.080.02x3m

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial GradePkn$5.25$0.160.03x47m

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.25$0.720.14x49m

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.25$35.826.82x49m

M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.25$0.090.02x49m

M4A4 | Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred)weapon · RarePkn$5.25$0.140.03x50m

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.25$0.160.03x56m

M4A4 | Poly Mag (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.25$0.100.02x56m

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.25$0.120.02x59m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$5.25	85.99%	452
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$5.25	86.00%	452
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$5.25	85.94%	452
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$5.25	86.00%	452
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$5.25	86.03%	452
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$5.25	85.97%	452
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$5.25	86.03%	452
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$5.25	85.84%	452
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$5.25	85.90%	452
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$5.25	85.97%	452
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$5.25	85.95%	452

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 3.3%legendary 0.0%covert 1.4%restricted 8.4%#eb4b4b 0.1%Ancient 0.2%Legendary 0.4%Covert 0.1%industrial 9.4%red 0.1%Classified 0.2%mil spec 10.1%Mythical 2.6%pink 1.3%Rare 7.1%Restricted 0.9%violet 1.5%Mil Spec Grade 4.8%#4b69ff 0.2%milspec 16.7%Uncommon 8.5%#8847ff 1.0%#d32ee6 0.4%blue 0.9%light blue 1.2%Industrial Grade 5.1%blueLight 3.5%#87c7ff 10.6%best hit $343 (65.31x)