KNIVES

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price

$195.33

Advertised RTP

83.33%

EV $162.77 from 351 items

Observed RTP, 30d

86.73%

700 openings, odds method

Variance

1.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

12.3%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

82.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

5 openings · below min

7 days

82.52%±15.63250 openings

30 days

86.73%±9.34700 openings

since tracking started

86.73%±9.34700 openings

-0.5%102.3%205.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	5	93.85%±110.5	—	odds
7d	250	82.52%±15.6	−0.1σ	odds
30d	700	86.73%±9.34	+0.7σ	odds
All	700	86.73%±9.34	+0.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values351 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 700 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$3,737	1.1%	1	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$3,299	1.0%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 2,000	$2,838	0.9%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$2,016	0.6%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 2,000	$2,009	0.6%	1	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$1,822	0.6%	1	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 2,000	$1,793	0.6%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,693	0.5%	1	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,655	0.5%	1	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,610	0.5%	1	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$1,590	0.5%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,443	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,413	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,367	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,298	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,254	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$1,248	0.4%	1	0.3	—
★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 2,000	$1,231	0.4%	1	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$1,223	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$1,211	0.4%	1	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,161	0.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,136	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,128	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$1,100	0.7%	1	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$1,072	0.3%	1	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,071	0.3%	1	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,066	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,057	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 2,000	$1,033	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$1,000	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$980	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$962	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$957	0.3%	2	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$918	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$912	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$902	0.3%	0	0.3	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$895	0.5%	0	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$893	0.5%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$890	0.5%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$881	0.5%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$836	0.5%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$833	0.5%	3	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · rare	1 in 1,000	$817	0.5%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$802	0.5%	0	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary	1 in 1,000	$790	0.5%	1	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$775	0.5%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$773	0.5%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$758	0.5%	2	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$740	0.5%	0	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$733	0.5%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$732	0.4%	2	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$716	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$705	0.4%	2	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · knifes	1 in 1,000	$702	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 1,000	$692	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 1,000	$692	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$681	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$670	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$638	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · knifes	1 in 1,000	$633	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$632	0.4%	2	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$631	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$624	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$621	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$617	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$613	0.4%	2	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$609	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$603	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$600	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$595	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$593	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$591	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$589	0.4%	2	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$584	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$584	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$574	0.4%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$570	0.4%	1	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$568	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$554	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$551	0.3%	3	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$550	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$539	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$533	0.3%	2	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$512	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$512	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$509	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$508	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$508	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$507	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$502	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$499	0.3%	3	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$493	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$488	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$470	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 1,000	$455	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$455	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$454	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$443	0.3%	2	0.7	—
★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$442	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$441	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$439	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$438	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$434	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · knifes	1 in 1,000	$431	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$423	0.3%	2	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$420	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$420	0.3%	2	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,000	$419	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$417	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$414	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$413	0.3%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$411	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$409	0.3%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$409	0.3%	2	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$406	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$393	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$391	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$391	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$390	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$386	0.2%	3	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$373	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · knifes	1 in 1,000	$371	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · legendary	1 in 1,000	$359	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$357	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$356	0.2%	3	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$354	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$347	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$344	0.2%	2	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$344	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$342	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$331	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$321	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$321	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$320	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · rare	1 in 1,000	$320	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$309	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$307	0.2%	2	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$304	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$303	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$301	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$299	0.2%	3	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$298	0.2%	2	0.7	—
★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$296	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$294	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$293	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$291	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$290	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$288	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$283	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$280	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$280	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$273	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$273	0.2%	2	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$272	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,000	$268	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$268	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$267	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$266	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$265	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$262	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$260	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$259	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$256	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$256	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$252	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$251	0.2%	2	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$250	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$249	0.2%	0	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · rare	1 in 1,000	$248	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$245	0.2%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$244	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$239	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 1,000	$237	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,000	$235	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$233	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$231	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$230	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$229	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$229	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$228	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$227	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$224	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$220	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$217	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$215	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$213	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$213	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$211	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$209	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$208	0.1%	3	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$207	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$205	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$204	0.1%	3	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$202	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$202	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$198	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$195	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$194	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$193	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$190	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$187	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$186	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$185	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$183	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$182	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$182	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$180	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$179	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$179	0.1%	3	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$178	0.1%	4	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$177	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$176	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$176	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$175	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$175	0.1%	3	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$174	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$174	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$173	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$173	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,000	$172	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$170	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$169	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$169	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$168	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$167	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$166	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$166	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$165	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$163	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$163	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$162	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$161	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$160	0.1%	5	0.7	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$160	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$159	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$159	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$158	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$157	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$156	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$156	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$156	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$153	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$152	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$147	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$147	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$146	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$145	0.2%	3	1.4	2.14×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$144	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$142	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$141	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$141	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$139	0.1%	2	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$138	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$138	0.1%	0	0.7	—
★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$138	0.1%	1	0.7	—
★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$134	0.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 500	$134	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$132	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 500	$131	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 500	$131	0.2%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$130	0.2%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 500	$130	0.2%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$129	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 500	$128	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$128	0.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 500	$126	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$126	0.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$124	0.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$122	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 500	$120	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$120	0.1%	3	1.4	2.14×
★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$120	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$119	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 500	$119	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 500	$117	0.1%	3	1.4	2.14×
★ Classic Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$117	0.1%	3	1.4	2.14×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$116	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$116	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$114	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$114	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Classic Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$114	0.1%	5	1.4	3.57×
★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$113	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Classic Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$113	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$112	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$108	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$107	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 500	$105	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$103	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$103	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$103	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$103	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 500	$103	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 500	$101	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 500	$101	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$100	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$96.67	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$95.90	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 500	$95.84	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$94.50	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Falchion Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 500	$94.00	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$93.75	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$93.42	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 500	$93.34	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$92.95	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$90.03	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 500	$88.87	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 500	$88.45	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Ursus Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 500	$85.85	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Falchion Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 500	$85.82	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$85.60	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Paracord Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$85.21	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$84.20	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 500	$82.70	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Gut Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$82.44	0.1%	3	1.4	2.14×
★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 500	$82.23	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Ursus Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 500	$81.92	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$81.11	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$81.00	0.1%	2	1.4	1.43×
★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$80.91	0.1%	1	1.4	0.71×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$80.66	0.2%	4	3.5	1.14×
★ Gut Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$80.28	0.2%	4	3.5	1.14×
★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd700	1 in 200	$78.79	0.2%	9	3.5	2.57×
★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$78.75	0.2%	2	3.5	0.57×
★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$78.53	0.2%	1	3.5	0.29×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 200	$78.45	0.2%	3	3.5	0.86×
★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$78.42	0.2%	3	3.5	0.86×
★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$78.13	0.2%	4	3.5	1.14×
★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$77.90	0.2%	3	3.5	0.86×
★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$77.88	0.5%	8	7.0	1.14×
★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 100	$76.83	0.5%	14	7.0	2.00×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$76.10	0.5%	4	7.0	0.57×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$75.46	0.5%	5	7.0	0.71×
★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$73.64	0.5%	5	7.0	0.71×
★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 100	$73.53	0.5%	13	7.0	1.86×
★ Paracord Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 67	$73.14	0.7%	10	10.5	0.95×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 50	$72.22	0.9%	10	14.0	0.71×
★ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 50	$70.96	0.9%	18	14.0	1.29×
★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 50	$70.88	0.9%	13	14.0	0.93×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 33	$70.40	1.3%	23	21.0	1.10×
★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 50	$70.40	0.9%	14	14.0	1.00×
★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 33	$70.05	1.3%	19	21.0	0.90×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 33	$69.88	1.3%	27	21.0	1.29×
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 33	$68.91	1.3%	20	21.0	0.95×
★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 33	$68.34	1.3%	20	21.0	0.95×
★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 25	$68.10	1.7%	31	28.0	1.11×
★ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 25	$67.86	1.7%	25	28.0	0.89×
★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 25	$66.01	1.6%	20	28.0	0.71×
★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 25	$64.51	1.6%	21	28.0	0.75×
★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 25	$63.91	1.6%	38	28.0	1.36×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 25	$63.84	1.6%	26	28.0	0.93×
★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 23	$63.75	1.7%	29	30.4	0.95×

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: knives), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700[BOT] HAL 9000$195$3,73719.13x7d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert[BOT] Mr. Blonde$195$2,00910.29x7d

★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700L'Italiano$195$1,8229.33x7d

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert[BOT] Max Cady$195$1,6938.67x1d

★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1802912$195$1,6558.47x1d

★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert[BOT] John Doe$195$1,6108.24x7d

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold1802912$195$1,2486.39x1d

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny[BOT] T-1000$195$1,2316.30x7d

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · goldL'Italiano$195$1,2116.20x7d

★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700[BOT] Max Cady$195$1,1005.63x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knifeTheRealWraith | csgopoints.com$195$70.050.36x10h

★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covertMaMeawww$195$1160.59x10h

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · goldScrappy Coco$195$5913.02x10h

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knifeBumbleBee$195$63.910.33x10h

★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert4mo$195$76.100.39x10h

★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd7001802912$195$78.790.40x1d

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1802912$195$63.910.33x1d

★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1802912$195$68.100.35x1d

★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · knifes1802912$195$3711.90x1d

★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1802912$195$1760.90x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$195	83.33%	351

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#ffd700 6.5%covert 41.0%sunny 1.1%Covert 5.8%gold 7.2%epic 0.5%covert knife 30.5%rare 0.3%legendary 0.2%knifes 0.4%Immortal 6.8%best hit $3,737 (19.13x)