Price
$9.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $8.00 from 51 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.67%
3,282 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,308 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/473, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 88.91% | 51 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.4%#ffd700 0.1%red 0.6%classified 11.8%#4b69ff 9.9%#8847ff 10.8%mil spec 21.9%Ancient 0.4%extraordinary 0.9%pink 3.0%restricted 18.9%Rare 2.8%Classified 3.3%Legendary 1.6%#d32ce6 1.7%consumer 2.0%industrial 9.1%best hit —