Robalini

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$9.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $8.00 from 51 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.67%
3,282 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
97.23%±17.64453 openings
7 days
91.41%±7.152,758 openings
30 days
89.67%±6.553,282 openings
since tracking started
89.67%±6.553,282 openings
79.0%97.3%115.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h45397.23%±17.6+0.9σodds
7d2,75891.41%±7.15+0.7σodds
30d3,28289.67%±6.55+0.2σodds
All3,28289.67%±6.55+0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,308 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 3,030$3321.4%11.10.92×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 2,083$2251.3%11.60.63×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,041$2221.4%11.60.62×
★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd7001 in 2,000$2171.4%21.71.21×
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,695$1831.3%32.01.54×
★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 1,667$1811.4%22.01.01×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 1,515$1641.3%32.21.37×
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,190$1291.4%22.80.72×
USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · red1 in 1,087$1181.4%33.00.99×
P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 483$76.192.0%36.80.44×
P90 | Tiger Pit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 395$62.332.0%118.41.31×
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 388$61.132.0%118.51.29×
MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 365$57.672.0%69.10.66×
MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 330$52.142.0%510.00.50×
AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 316$49.962.0%1410.51.34×
USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 285$45.072.0%1311.61.12×
AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 262$41.452.0%812.60.63×
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 262$41.422.0%1912.61.51×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 262$41.392.0%512.60.40×
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 251$39.732.0%1513.21.14×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 248$39.132.0%1113.40.82×
FAMAS | Meltdown (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 244$38.562.0%1513.61.11×
P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 219$34.632.0%1615.11.06×
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 211$33.372.0%1415.60.89×
AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 196$31.042.0%1616.80.95×
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 148$23.402.0%1822.30.81×
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 139$21.972.0%3523.81.47×
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 136$21.452.0%3124.41.27×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 124$19.592.0%2326.70.86×
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 42$16.014.7%6978.50.88×
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 39$14.834.7%9384.81.10×
Tec-9 | Toxic (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 36$13.654.7%9992.11.07×
AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 33$12.404.7%117101.41.15×
FAMAS | Styx (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 30$11.574.7%106108.60.98×
AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified1 in 30$11.554.7%120108.81.10×
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 64$8.731.7%4151.50.80×
StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce61 in 57$7.781.7%5257.80.90×
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 55$7.461.7%7560.31.24×
MP7 | Asterion (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer1 in 49$6.711.7%8167.01.21×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 36$4.931.7%9391.21.02×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 35$4.741.7%10094.81.05×
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33$4.541.7%9899.00.99×
M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 25$3.451.7%112130.30.86×
MAC-10 | Heat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 22$3.051.7%138147.40.94×
P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 18$2.461.7%181182.80.99×
FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec14.8%$0.921.7%497488.71.02×
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 42$0.760.2%8479.21.06×
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 29$0.530.2%125113.61.10×
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 23$0.420.2%148143.31.03×
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 10$0.200.2%275320.30.86×
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 11$0.200.2%297301.00.99×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/473, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$9.0088.91%51
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.4%#ffd700 0.1%red 0.6%classified 11.8%#4b69ff 9.9%#8847ff 10.8%mil spec 21.9%Ancient 0.4%extraordinary 0.9%pink 3.0%restricted 18.9%Rare 2.8%Classified 3.3%Legendary 1.6%#d32ce6 1.7%consumer 2.0%industrial 9.1%best hit —